Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.006764 0.007826 0.009071 0.010660 0.012661 0.015138 0.018499
2025-10-26 0.005369 0.006656 0.008326 0.010720 0.014182 0.019218 0.027550
2025-11-02 0.004511 0.005837 0.007671 0.010513 0.015045 0.022502 0.037074
2025-11-09 0.003838 0.005110 0.006948 0.009954 0.015108 0.024440 0.045405
2025-11-16 0.003371 0.004591 0.006417 0.009543 0.015240 0.026482 0.055365
2025-11-23 0.003123 0.004354 0.006266 0.009699 0.016398 0.030992 0.075312
2025-11-30 0.002858 0.004055 0.005965 0.009525 0.016858 0.034199 0.095404
2025-12-07 0.002608 0.003751 0.005615 0.009192 0.016888 0.036398 0.115326
2025-12-14 0.002428 0.003541 0.005393 0.009059 0.017321 0.039914 0.147240
2025-12-21 0.002342 0.003472 0.005408 0.009392 0.018932 0.047887 0.223511
2025-12-28 0.002286 0.003449 0.005499 0.009895 0.021148 0.059683 0.383503
2026-01-04 0.002196 0.003358 0.005452 0.010091 0.022626 0.070244 0.626379
2026-01-11 0.002059 0.003184 0.005247 0.009947 0.023256 0.078807 1.002481
2026-01-18 0.001955 0.003062 0.005135 0.010008 0.024595 0.093083 2.059819
2026-01-25 0.001839 0.002906 0.004935 0.009820 0.025071 0.103749 4.090476
2026-02-01 0.001704 0.002706 0.004627 0.009311 0.024277 0.105712 6.276331
2026-02-08 0.001595 0.002546 0.004386 0.008935 0.023856 0.110226 11.789727
2026-02-15 0.001540 0.002485 0.004345 0.009078 0.025445 0.133624 126.437463
2026-02-22 0.001466 0.002381 0.004202 0.008920 0.025807 0.148067 233070.716563
2026-03-01 0.001386 0.002261 0.004015 0.008615 0.025468 0.155524 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001327 0.002177 0.003900 0.008494 0.025893 0.173460 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001303 0.002160 0.003931 0.008798 0.028400 0.228930 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001289 0.002164 0.004008 0.009257 0.031997 0.329819 NaN